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Empirical Economic Bulletin, An Undergraduate Journal

Abstract

This paper investigates which ETF sectors are most recession-proof by focusing on sector performance and finding the possibility of a positive or negative correlation between specific sectors and the overall market performance during such recessionary times. The study compares the percentage gain or loss by each ETF sector with regression analysis to determine which sectors perform better than the overall market performance during an economic downturn. The study incorporates the most recent recession and the recession during 2001, when the technology bubble burst occurred, to find any relevance and/or consistency in my study. The results show that out of all the sectors, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, and the SPDR Gold Trust outperformed the overall market.

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